Kamilla Cardoso faces Portland Fire in a night game on June 26 at Wintrust Arena. The Over 3.5 Assists has cashed in 5 of 15 night games this season (33%). However, head-to-head trends against Portland at night are steeper: the prop has not hit in either of the last 2 night matchups versus Fire W. Cardoso carries 1 day of rest into this contest.
Quick Stats
- Over 3.5 Assists has hit 33% in 15 night games this season (5 of 15).
- Over 3.5 Assists has cashed 0% in the last 2 night games vs Portland Fire (0 of 2).
- Over 3.5 Assists hit 20% in the last 5 night games overall (1 of 5).
- Last season, the Over hit 27% across 30 night games (8 of 30).
Season Splits: Night Game Trends
Cardoso's assist prop shows a notable split between day and night games. In 15 night games this season, the Over 3.5 Assists has cashed 5 times (33%). The last 10 night games are slightly softer at 30% (3 of 10), and the most recent 5-game night stretch dropped to 20% (1 of 5). Across all 20 night games tracked, the Over sits at 30% (6 of 20).
- 2026 season night games: 33% (5 of 15)
- Last 10 night games: 30% (3 of 10)
- Last 5 night games: 20% (1 of 5)
- Last 20 night games: 30% (6 of 20)
Head-to-Head vs Portland Fire: Night Game Record
The matchup dynamic shifts significantly in Portland's favor at night. In 2 prior night contests versus Fire W, Cardoso has not exceeded 3.5 assists, posting 1 and 3 assists respectively (May 10 away, June 25 home). This 0% H2H night rate contrasts with her season-wide night performance and suggests Portland's defensive scheme or Cardoso's role adjustments in this specific pairing merit close attention.
- H2H night games vs Portland Fire: 0% (0 of 2)
- May 10, 2026 @ POR: 1 assist
- June 25, 2026 vs POR: 3 assists
Last Season Context
In 2025, Cardoso played 30 night games and exceeded 3.5 assists in 8 of them (27%). That mark aligns closely with her current-season rate of 30% across the last 20 nights, suggesting modest consistency in her night-game assist floor. The 27% last-season rate sits slightly below her 33% mark through 15 night games this year.
- 2025 night games: 27% (8 of 30)
- Range of assists in 2025 night games: 0 to 6
Prop Outlook
Kamilla Cardoso carries 4 qualifying prop angles in our data. The top trend hits 100% historically; we weigh recent form against the line.
- K. Cardoso Under 13.5 - Points Scored (100% in the last 5 night home games) at -115 - CHI vs. POR
- K. Cardoso Under 8.5 - Rebounds (90% in the last 10 home games vs a former teammate) at -127 - CHI vs. POR
- K. Cardoso Under 21.5 - Points + Rebounds (80% in the last 5 home games) at +100 - CHI vs. POR
- K. Cardoso Over 4.5 - Assists (50% in the last 10 home games vs a former college teammate) at +468 - CHI vs. POR
Best Prop Picks
Top Kamilla Cardoso prop recommendations with the numbers behind them:
- K. Cardoso Under 13.5 - Points Scored (100% in the last 5 night home games, -115)
- K. Cardoso Under 8.5 - Rebounds (90% in the last 10 home games vs a former teammate, -127)
- K. Cardoso Under 21.5 - Points + Rebounds (80% in the last 5 home games, +100)
- K. Cardoso Over 4.5 - Assists (50% in the last 10 home games vs a former college teammate, +468)
The Trends Behind the Props
How Kamilla Cardoso's prop results break down across recent form, the full season, home/away, and head-to-head splits:
- K. Cardoso Under 21.5 - Points + Rebounds, 70% in the last 20 home games vs a former college teammate (14/20)
- K. Cardoso Over 4.5 - Assists, 30% in the last 20 games vs a former teammate (6/20)
- K. Cardoso Over 4.5 - Assists, 30% in the last 20 games vs a former college teammate (6/20)
- K. Cardoso Under 8.5 - Rebounds, 65% in the last 20 night home games (13/20)
- K. Cardoso Under 21.5 - Points + Rebounds, 65% in the last 20 home games vs a former teammate (13/20)
- K. Cardoso Over 4.5 - Assists, 30% in the last 20 home games (6/20)
- K. Cardoso Under 13.5 - Points Scored, 73% in 15 night games this season (11/15)
- K. Cardoso Under 8.5 - Rebounds, 90% in the last 10 home games vs a former teammate (9/10)
- K. Cardoso Over 4.5 - Assists, 50% in the last 10 home games vs a former college teammate (5/10)
- K. Cardoso Under 8.5 - Rebounds, 80% in the last 10 home games (8/10)
Things to Watch Out For
Risk flags before betting these props:
- K. Cardoso Over 4.5 - Assists has hit just 50% recently, closer to a coin flip than an edge.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Kamilla Cardoso's Over 3.5 Assists hit rate in night games this season?
The Over has cashed in 5 of 15 night games played this season (33%). In the most recent 5-night stretch, it has hit just once (20%).
How does the Over perform specifically against Portland Fire at night?
The Over 3.5 Assists has not cashed in either of the last 2 night games versus Portland Fire (0 of 2), with Cardoso posting 1 and 3 assists in those contests.
Is there a significant difference between Cardoso's season night rate and last season?
Yes. This season, the Over has hit 33% in 15 night games (5 of 15). Last season, it cashed 27% across 30 night games (8 of 30), suggesting a modest uptick in her assist rate at night this year.
What rest does Cardoso have heading into the June 26 game?
Cardoso has 1 day of rest since her last game.
What are the odds on the Over 3.5 Assists?
The Over carries decimal odds of 3.16, American odds of +216, and fractional odds of 216/100, with an implied probability of 31.6%.