Toronto Tempo W face Phoenix Mercury W on June 27 at Scotiabank Arena in a regular-season WNBA matchup. The Under 22.5 for Tempo W's 3rd Quarter points has cashed in 6 of 18 games this season, a 33% hit rate. The trend shows consistency: over the last 10 games, the Under has hit 30% of the time (3 of 10), and in the last 5 games it has cashed just 20% of the time (1 of 5). Against Phoenix specifically, the Under went 0-1 when the teams met on May 20.
Quick Stats
- Tempo W's 3Q Under 22.5 has cashed 33% of the time across 18 games this season
- Last 5 games show a 20% hit rate (1 of 5) on the Under
- Head-to-head vs Phoenix: 0% in the most recent matchup (May 20)
- Tempo W are 1-4 in their last 5 games overall
- Game is scheduled for 2:00 PM ET on June 27 at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto
Season Trends: Under 22.5 3Q Points at 33%
Toronto Tempo W have scored fewer than 22.5 points in the 3rd Quarter in 6 of 18 games this season. The Under has maintained a 33% success rate across the full slate, indicating that Tempo W exceed 22.5 points in the 3Q roughly two-thirds of the time. This baseline is critical for evaluating whether the matchup with Phoenix Mercury W will tilt toward higher or lower scoring in that period.
- Under 22.5: 6 hits in 18 season games (33%)
- Over 22.5: 12 hits in 18 season games (67%)
- Opponents faced this season: Washington, Seattle, Las Vegas (twice), Phoenix, Minnesota, Portland, Chicago, New York Liberty, Connecticut, Atlanta (twice), Indiana, and Las Vegas again
Recent Form: 20% Under Hit Rate in Last 5
Tempo W's Under 22.5 3Q performance has softened in recent games. Over the last 5 games, the Under has cashed only once, producing a 20% hit rate. The 3Q scoring outputs in that span were 20, 23, 27, 24, and 32 points, with only the 20-point outing (vs. Atlanta on June 14) falling below the 22.5 threshold. This recent volatility suggests elevated 3Q scoring activity.
- June 14 vs Atlanta: 20 points (Under hit)
- June 16 @ Indiana: 23 points (Under missed)
- June 19 @ Connecticut: 27 points (Under missed)
- June 22 @ Atlanta: 24 points (Under missed)
- June 25 vs Las Vegas: 32 points (Under missed)
Head-to-Head vs Phoenix: 0% on the Under
The most recent meeting between Tempo W and Phoenix Mercury W occurred on May 20, when the teams played in Phoenix. Tempo W scored 28 points in the 3Q, surpassing the 22.5 line and causing the Under to miss. This single data point is the only direct comparison available and shows no cashing for the Under in this matchup.
- May 20 @ Phoenix: 28 points (Under missed)
- Under vs Phoenix all-time in sample: 0-1
Team Records and Context
Toronto Tempo W enter this game with a 8-9 season record (47.1% win percentage) and are 1-4 in their last five contests, currently on a one-game losing streak. Phoenix Mercury W hold a 6-13 record (31.6% win percentage) and are 2-3 in their last five, riding a one-game winning streak. The game is nationally televised and takes place on a Saturday afternoon in Toronto.
- Tempo W: 8-9 season record, 1-4 in last 5
- Phoenix Mercury W: 6-13 season record, 2-3 in last 5
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto (capacity 19,800)
- Coaches: Sandra Anne Brondello (Toronto) vs Nate Tibbetts (Phoenix)
- Start time: 2:00 PM ET on June 27
Team Betting Trends
The strongest Toronto Tempo W team-level angles, with the numbers:
- Tempo W -3.5 - Point Spread (80% in the last 5 home games) at -124
- Tempo W Over 22.5 - 3rd Quarter Team Points Scored (67% in the last 18 games) at +100
- Tempo W -0.5 - 3rd Quarter Point Spread (60% in the last 10 games) at -145
- Tempo W Over 88.5 - Team Points Scored (50% in the last 18 games) at -160
- Tempo W - 1st Quarter Race to 25 Points at +168
Best Team Picks
Top Toronto Tempo W team bets with the data behind each:
- Tempo W -3.5 - Point Spread (80% in the last 5 home games, -124)
- Tempo W Over 22.5 - 3rd Quarter Team Points Scored (67% in the last 18 games, +100)
- Tempo W -0.5 - 3rd Quarter Point Spread (60% in the last 10 games, -145)
- Tempo W Over 88.5 - Team Points Scored (50% in the last 18 games, -160)
Players to Watch on Toronto Tempo W
Player props from this roster, each tied to the player (not the team):
- M. Mabrey Under 2.5 - 3 Pointers Made (80% in the last 20 afternoon games, +128)
- M. Mabrey Under 4.5 - Assists (80% in the last 20 afternoon home games, -159)
- M. Mabrey Over 25.5 - Points + Rebounds (80% in the last 5 games vs a former teammate, -165)
- M. Mabrey Under 22.5 - Points Scored (80% in the last 20 home games vs a former teammate, -120)
- M. Mabrey Under 30.5 - Points + Rebounds + Assists (75% in the last 16 games against PHO, -102)
- M. Mabrey Under 7.5 - Rebounds + Assists (70% in the last 20 afternoon home games, -104)
Things to Watch Out For
Risk flags before backing this team:
- Tempo W Over 88.5 - Team Points Scored has hit just 50% recently, closer to a coin flip than an edge.
Upcoming Schedule
Live odds for the next game appear in the widget on this page.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Under 22.5 hit rate for Toronto Tempo W 3Q points this season?
The Under 22.5 has cashed in 6 of 18 games this season, a 33% hit rate. This means Tempo W have scored fewer than 22.5 points in the 3rd Quarter one-third of the time.
How has the Under performed in Tempo W's last 5 games?
Over the last 5 games, the Under 22.5 has hit just once, a 20% success rate. Tempo W's 3Q point totals in this stretch were 20, 23, 27, 24, and 32, showing increased offensive output in the 3rd Quarter.
What happened the last time Toronto played Phoenix?
On May 20 in Phoenix, Tempo W scored 28 points in the 3rd Quarter, causing the Under 22.5 to miss. This is the only prior meeting available in the data.
Why is this game nationally televised?
The June 27 matchup between Toronto Tempo W and Phoenix Mercury W is scheduled as a nationally televised game, indicating it has been selected for broader audience coverage.
What is Toronto's current form heading into this game?
Toronto Tempo W are 8-9 on the season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, currently on a one-game losing streak as of June 26.