The bets we are actually putting money on today. Every Serie A play below is ranked from 13 qualifying angles with the numbers that justify it.
Quick Stats
- 13 angles in play
- Atlético Mineiro Atlético-MG Over 4.5 - Team Corners (91% in the last 11 games played on 4 days of rest, +185) - ATL @ PAL
- K. Viveros Over 1.5 - Shots on Target (67% in the last 12 night games, +230) - CAP @ SPA
- Santos Under 1.5 - 2nd Half Team Corners (65% in the last 20 games while on a losing streak of 1, +350) - SAN vs. CHA
- Vasco da Gama Vasco Under 3.5 - Team Corners (60% in the last 20 clear games, +300) - VAS vs. MIR
Today's Best Bets
The bets we are actually putting money on today. Ranked by hit rate, each with the data behind it:
- Atlético Mineiro Atlético-MG Over 4.5 - Team Corners (91% in the last 11 games played on 4 days of rest, +185) - ATL @ PAL
- K. Viveros Over 1.5 - Shots on Target (67% in the last 12 night games, +230) - CAP @ SPA
- Santos Under 1.5 - 2nd Half Team Corners (65% in the last 20 games while on a losing streak of 1, +350) - SAN vs. CHA
- Vasco da Gama Vasco Under 3.5 - Team Corners (60% in the last 20 clear games, +300) - VAS vs. MIR
- S. Mendoza Yes - To Score a Goal (+425, 19% implied) - CAP @ SPA
- B. Henrique Yes - To Score a Goal (+700, 12% implied) - INT vs. CRU
- G. Plata Yes - To Score a Goal (+295, 25% implied) - FLA @ CHA
- L. Gustavo Yes - To Score a Goal (+950, 10% implied) - CAP @ SPA
The Case
We pulled 13 qualifying Serie A angles and kept the strongest, but confidence is not certainty, so we stake to the edge, not the excitement.
- Atlético Mineiro Atlético-MG Over 6.5 - Team Corners (65% in the last 17 games vs teams on a winning streak of 2) at +650 - ATL @ PAL
- S. Mendoza Yes - To Score a Goal at +425 - CAP @ SPA
- Vasco da Gama Vasco Under 3.5 - Team Corners (60% in the last 20 clear games) at +300 - VAS vs. MIR
- B. Henrique Yes - To Score a Goal at +700 - INT vs. CRU
- G. Plata Yes - To Score a Goal at +295 - FLA @ CHA
How to Play It
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is today's top Serie A best bets?
Our top play: Atlético Mineiro Atlético-MG Over 4.5 - Team Corners (91% in the last 11 games played on 4 days of rest, +185) - ATL @ PAL.
How are these ranked?
By recent hit rate and implied probability, weighted for sample depth.
How many angles were considered?
13 qualifying Serie A angles today.