Phoenix Mercury W host Connecticut Sun W in July 2026. The sharpest data-backed angles, the player props worth watching, and our recommended bets, with the numbers behind each.

Quick Stats

• Connecticut W - Moneyline (74% in the last 19 games against PHO) at +140
• Connecticut Sun W Under 166 - Total Points (74% in the last 19 games against PHO) at +105
• Connecticut W Over 19.5 - 4th Quarter Team Points Scored at -125
• O. Nelson-Ododa Under 10.5 - Points Scored (100% in the last 13 games against PHO, -120)
• B. Griner Under 12.5 - Points Scored (100% in the last 5 afternoon away games, -104)

Matchup Snapshot

Phoenix Mercury W vs Connecticut Sun W has 69 qualifying betting trends in our data.

Top Team & Game Trends

The strongest team and game angles for this matchup:

• Connecticut W - Moneyline (74% in the last 19 games against PHO) at +140
• Connecticut Sun W Under 166 - Total Points (74% in the last 19 games against PHO) at +105
• Connecticut W Over 19.5 - 4th Quarter Team Points Scored at -125
• Connecticut Sun W Under 167.5 - Total Points (75% in the last 20 afternoon away games) at -120
• Connecticut W +3.5 - Point Spread at -108

Best Game Picks

Our top data-backed game/team recommendations, with the numbers:

• Connecticut Sun W Under 167.5 - Total Points (75% in the last 20 afternoon away games, -120)
• Phoenix Mercury W Over 165.5 - Total Points (75% in 12 home games this season, -126)
• Under 168.5 - Total Points (75% in the last 20 afternoon away games, -125)
• Connecticut W - Moneyline (74% in the last 19 games against PHO, +140)

Player Props to Watch

Player props for this game, each tied to the player:

• O. Nelson-Ododa Under 10.5 - Points Scored (100% in the last 13 games against PHO, -120)
• B. Griner Under 12.5 - Points Scored (100% in the last 5 afternoon away games, -104)
• D. Miller Under 8.5 - Points Scored (94% in the last 16 afternoon away games, -107)
• K. Copper Under 27.5 - Points + Rebounds + Assists (85% in the last 20 afternoon games, -120)
• N. Mack Under 7.5 - Rebounds + Assists (85% in the last 13 afternoon home games, +111)
• K. Copper Under 23.5 - Points + Assists (85% in the last 20 afternoon games, -123)

Parlays for This Game

Correlated multi-leg parlays from this matchup, with the combined price and every leg:

• 2-leg parlay at +199 (33% implied): O. Nelson-Ododa Over 16.5 - Points + Rebounds + N. Mack Over 13.5 - Points + Rebounds
• 2-leg parlay at +244 (29% implied): N. Mack Under 6.5 - Rebounds + B. Griner Under 5.5 - Rebounds
• 2-leg parlay at +593 (14% implied): D. Bonner Over 2.5 - 3 Pointers Made + L. Lacan Over 20.5 - Points + Rebounds + Assists

Things to Watch Out For

Risk flags before you bet this game:

• A. Thomas Over 15.5 - Points Scored has hit just 50% recently, closer to a coin flip than an edge.
• B. Griner Over 13.5 - Points Scored sits at 50% lately, too thin to back with confidence.

How to Bet This Market

Compare prices across books, confirm the line hasn't moved, and place the bet via the widget.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best bet for Phoenix Mercury W vs Connecticut Sun W?

Our top angle: Connecticut Sun W Under 167.5 - Total Points (75% in the last 20 afternoon away games, -120).

What player props stand out in Phoenix Mercury W vs Connecticut Sun W?

O. Nelson-Ododa Under 10.5 - Points Scored (100% in the last 13 games against PHO, -120)

How many betting trends apply to this game?

69 qualifying trends apply to this matchup in our data.

How Assists Works

Pick over or under how many times the player will pass the ball to a teammate who then scores a basket. That successful scoring pass counts as an assist.

Reading the Odds

American odds show how much you win on a 100 stake (or must risk to win 100).

Frequently Asked Questions

How does Assists pay out?

Payout follows the posted American odds at the time you place the bet.