Shenzhen vs Chengdu Rongcheng: Home Night Form at 45%

Shenzhen City hosts Chengdu Rongcheng on 2026-06-27. Shenzhen have won 45% of last 20 night home games. Full odds, trends, and picks.

Shenzhen City welcome Chengdu Rongcheng to Shenzhen Stadium on Saturday, 2026-06-27 at 19:35 local time in a China Super League matchup. Shenzhen sit at 5-8-2 (33% win percentage) this season, while Chengdu Rongcheng arrive with a 12-2-1 record (80% win percentage) and a 1-game winning streak. The home side's night-game form offers a mixed picture: Shenzhen have won regulation in 45% of their last 20 night home games and 50% in their last 10 such contests, though they lost 0-3 to Chengdu in their only prior night home meeting.

Quick Stats

  • Shenzhen City's last 5 night home games: 40% regulation win rate (2 wins in 5 games)
  • Shenzhen City's last 20 night home games: 45% regulation win rate (9 wins in 20 games)
  • Shenzhen City vs Chengdu Rongcheng (night, home): 0% (0-1, with a 0-3 loss on 2024-08-09)
  • Shenzhen City are a -500 underdog (implied 20.8% win probability) despite their home venue

Night Home Performance Trends

Shenzhen City's home record in night matches tells a cautionary tale. Over their last 20 night home games, they have won during regulation in 9 contests for a 45% win rate. In the tighter 10-game window, that rate rises slightly to 50% (5 wins). However, over the most recent 5-night home games, the win rate dips to 40% (2 wins). This season specifically, across 8 night home games, Shenzhen have won 4 for a 50% regulation success rate.

  • Last 20 night home games: 45% win rate (9-11-0)
  • Last 10 night home games: 50% win rate (5-5-0)
  • Last 5 night home games: 40% win rate (2-3-0)
  • 2026 season night home games: 50% win rate (4-4-0 in 8 matches)

Head-to-Head Night Home Record vs Chengdu Rongcheng

Shenzhen's single prior night home encounter with Chengdu Rongcheng occurred on 2024-08-09, resulting in a 0-3 defeat. This 1-game sample represents Shenzhen's only documented night home matchup against this opponent, a stark contrast to their modest but consistent 45% success rate against all comers in similar conditions.

  • Last 1 night home game vs Chengdu Rongcheng: 0% win rate (0 wins in 1 game)
  • Previous meeting: Shenzhen 0-3 Chengdu Rongcheng (2024-08-09, night, home)

Team Form and Season Context

Chengdu Rongcheng enter as heavy favorites with a 12-2-1 record (80% season win percentage), currently riding a 1-game winning streak and showing 0 losing streaks. Shenzhen, by contrast, sit 5-8-2 on the season (33% win percentage), though they are in the midst of a 2-game winning streak with no active losing streak. Both teams have had 27 days of rest since their last match. The weather forecast calls for stormy conditions with a projected 99% maximum cloud cover.

  • Shenzhen City: 5-8-2 record, 33% season win percentage, 2-game winning streak
  • Chengdu Rongcheng: 12-2-1 record, 80% season win percentage, 1-game winning streak
  • Last 5 games: Shenzhen 2-2-1; Chengdu Rongcheng 3-2-0
  • Rest: Both teams at 27 days since last match

Betting Market Position

Shenzhen City is priced at +380 American odds (4.8 decimal, 380/100 fractional) on the 1X2 (full-time) market, implying a 20.8% win probability. This reflects the substantial gap in season form between the clubs and Shenzhen's poor historical record in night home play against this specific opponent.

  • Shenzhen City moneyline: +380 (American), 4.8 (decimal), 20.8% implied probability
  • Market classification: 1X2 Full-Time (1 = home win, X = draw, 2 = away win)

Upcoming Schedule

Live odds for the next game appear in the widget on this page.

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Shenzhen City performed in night home games this season?

Shenzhen City have won regulation in 4 of their 8 home games played at night (local start time after 6pm) during the 2026 season, a 50% win rate. This is broadly consistent with their longer-term night home trend.

What is Shenzhen City's record against Chengdu Rongcheng at home in night games?

Shenzhen City have won during regulation in 0 of the last 1 home games vs. Chengdu Rongcheng played at night (local start time after 6pm). The sole recorded night home meeting was on 2024-08-09, which ended 0-3 in favor of Chengdu Rongcheng.

Why is Shenzhen City priced as such a heavy underdog despite playing at home?

Shenzhen City's +380 odds (20.8% implied win probability) reflect a substantial season-long form gap: Shenzhen sit 5-8-2 (33% win rate) while Chengdu Rongcheng are 12-2-1 (80% win rate). Additionally, Shenzhen's 0-3 loss to Chengdu in their only prior night home match likely influences the closing line.

What weather conditions are forecast for this match?

Stormy conditions are projected, with a 99% maximum cloud cover, 93% maximum humidity, and temperatures between 27-28°C. Visibility is projected at 15,700 meters with a southeast wind at up to 7.5 km/h.

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