Qingdao Hainiu vs Yunnan Yukun: 85% Home Win Rate

Qingdao Hainiu host Yunnan Yukun on June 26 in a China Super League regular-season matchup at Qingdao Youth Football Stadium. Hainiu enter with a pronounced home-field edge in their recent history against this opponent. The Double Chance market on Hainiu/Yunnan Yukun reflects strong historical performance: Hainiu or their opponent have won during regulation in 17 of the last 20 games, and Hainiu have not lost in their last three head-to-head contests.

Quick Stats

• Hainiu unbeaten in 3 straight H2H matchups vs Yunnan Yukun (wins and draws in regulation across all three games)
• 85% win rate in last 20 home games (17 of 20 games decided by win for either side)
• 90% win rate in last 10 home games (9 of 10 games decided by regulation win)
• Hainiu on 4-game losing streak at home; Yunnan Yukun 2-1-2 in last 5 away games
• Hainiu -380 American odds (1.26 decimal) on Double Chance; implied probability 79.2%

Head-to-Head Dominance

Qingdao Hainiu have not dropped a game to Yunnan Yukun in their last three meetings. The sequence includes a 1-0 away loss on April 6, 2025 (match-winner for Hainiu), a 5-1 home victory on August 9, 2025, and a 2-1 away win on March 7, 2026. Across all three contests, Hainiu or Yunnan Yukun have won during regulation in 100% of matchups.

• 3-of-3 H2H games have been decided by a winner (no draws)
• Latest H2H on March 7, 2026: Hainiu 1-2 away vs Yunnan Yukun
• Previous home meeting (Aug 9, 2025): Hainiu 5-1

Long-Term Home Form Trend

Hainiu's home record over larger samples reveals consistent high-volume finality. In their last 20 home games, 17 have been decided by a winner, an 85% rate. Over the last 10 home contests, 9 have been decided in regulation (90%). Most recently, Hainiu are 5-of-5 (100%) in their last five home games, with all five contests producing a winner.

• Last 5 home games: 100% decided by regulation winner (5-of-5)
• Last 10 home games: 90% decided by regulation winner (9-of-10)
• Last 20 home games: 85% decided by regulation winner (17-of-20)

Current Form and Rest

Qingdao Hainiu carry a 4-game home losing streak and sit 5-8-2 on the season (33.3% win percentage). They have rested 26 days since their last fixture. Yunnan Yukun arrive 6-6-3 on the season (40% win percentage) with a 2-1-2 record in their last five away games and 25 days of rest. Hainiu are favored at -380 American odds, reflecting the home edge and head-to-head history despite recent home struggles.

• Hainiu season record: 5-8-2 (33.3% win percentage)
• Yunnan Yukun season record: 6-6-3 (40% win percentage)
• Yunnan Yukun last 5 away: 2-1-2
• Both teams receive substantial rest: Hainiu 26 days, Yunnan Yukun 25 days

Betting Market Overview

The Double Chance market on Hainiu/Yunnan Yukun allows selection of any two of the three full-time outcomes: Home Win or Tie, Away Win or Tie, or Home Win or Away Win. Hainiu/Yunnan Yukun is quoted at -380 American odds (1.26 decimal), implying a 79.2% probability. This reflects the conjunction of home-field advantage, unbeaten head-to-head record, and the 85% regulation-decision rate in Hainiu's 20-game home sample.

• American odds: -380
• Decimal odds: 1.26
• Implied probability: 79.2%
• Payout multiplier: 0.263

Upcoming Schedule

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Double Chance market?

Double Chance lets you pick two of the three full-time outcomes: (1) Home Win or Tie, (2) Away Win or Tie, or (3) Home Win or Away Win. Your bet wins if either of your two chosen outcomes occurs during regulation (no overtime). On Hainiu/Yunnan Yukun, you are selecting two possible outcomes instead of just one.

Why is Hainiu favored at -380 despite a 4-game losing streak at home?

Hainiu's recent home struggles are offset by their unbeaten 3-game head-to-head record vs Yunnan Yukun and an 85% rate of regulation-decided outcomes in their last 20 home games. The odds also reflect that Yunnan Yukun are below.500 on the season (40% win percentage vs Hainiu's 33.3%), giving Hainiu the home edge in a matchup between two struggling teams.

How much rest will each team have?

Qingdao Hainiu will have 26 days of rest before this match. Yunnan Yukun will have 25 days of rest. Both teams are well-rested, which may reduce any fatigue-related advantage.

What was the most recent result between these teams?

Hainiu played Yunnan Yukun on March 7, 2026, with Hainiu winning 1-2 away. The game was decided by a regulation winner. Hainiu have now won or drawn in all three of their last head-to-head meetings.

How often do Hainiu home games end with a winner?

In Hainiu's last 20 home games, a winner was decided in 17 of them (85%). Over the last 10 home games, a winner occurred in 9 of them (90%). In their last 5 home games, all 5 have been decided by a winner (100%).