Small stakes, big upside. The longshots with real data behind the dream. Every Primera A play below is ranked from 14 qualifying angles with the numbers that justify it.
Quick Stats
- 14 angles in play
- Llaneros FC Llaneros Exactly 0 - Team Goals Scored (Exact) (65% in the last 20 night games, +340) - LLA vs. PER
- Deportivo Pereira Yes - To Hold Opponent Scoreless (40% in the last 5 games, +350) - PER @ LLA
- Llaneros FC Draw/Draw - Half Time / Full Time (35% in the last 20 night games, +360) - LLA vs. PER
- Deportivo Pereira Exactly 2 - Team Goals Scored (Exact) (30% in the last 10 night games, +500) - PER @ LLA
Today's Longshots & Value
Small stakes, big upside. The longshots with real data behind the dream. Ranked by hit rate, each with the data behind it:
- Llaneros FC Llaneros Exactly 0 - Team Goals Scored (Exact) (65% in the last 20 night games, +340) - LLA vs. PER
- Deportivo Pereira Yes - To Hold Opponent Scoreless (40% in the last 5 games, +350) - PER @ LLA
- Llaneros FC Draw/Draw - Half Time / Full Time (35% in the last 20 night games, +360) - LLA vs. PER
- Deportivo Pereira Exactly 2 - Team Goals Scored (Exact) (30% in the last 10 night games, +500) - PER @ LLA
- Deportivo Pereira Exactly 1 - 1st Half Team Goals Scored (Exact) (28% in 18 games this season, +235) - PER @ LLA
- Deportivo Pereira Over 0.5 - 1st Half Team Goals Scored (25% in the last 20 night away games, +230) - PER @ LLA
- this pick (+2012, 5% implied)
- Boyacá Chicó FC Boyacá Chicó Yes - To Win Both Halves (+2500, 4% implied) - CHI vs. CAN
The Case
We pulled 14 qualifying Primera A angles and kept the strongest, but confidence is not certainty, so we stake to the edge, not the excitement.
- Deportivo Pereira Yes - To Hold Opponent Scoreless (40% in the last 5 games) at +350 - PER @ LLA
- this pick at +2012
- Llaneros FC Draw/Draw - Half Time / Full Time (35% in the last 20 night games) at +360 - LLA vs. PER
- Boyacá Chicó FC Boyacá Chicó Yes - To Win Both Halves at +2500 - CHI vs. CAN
- Deportivo Pereira Exactly 1 - 1st Half Team Goals Scored (Exact) (28% in 18 games this season) at +235 - PER @ LLA
Things to Watch Out For
Before you bet:
- Deportivo Pereira Yes - To Hold Opponent Scoreless has hit just 40% recently, closer to a coin flip than an edge.
- Llaneros FC Draw/Draw - Half Time / Full Time (LLA vs. PER) sits at 35% lately, too thin to back with confidence.
- Deportivo Pereira Exactly 1 - 1st Half Team Goals Scored (Exact) has cashed only 28% of late, below the bar for a real edge.
- Deportivo Pereira Exactly 2 - Team Goals Scored (Exact) is barely a coin flip at 30%, so tread carefully.
How to Play It
Tap any pick to load it, compare the price across books, and place it via the widget.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is today's top Primera A longshots & value?
Our top play: Llaneros FC Llaneros Exactly 0 - Team Goals Scored (Exact) (65% in the last 20 night games, +340) - LLA vs. PER.
How are these ranked?
By recent hit rate and implied probability, weighted for sample depth.
How many angles were considered?
14 qualifying Primera A angles today.
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