Drogheda United hosts Bohemians on July 3 in an Ireland Premier Division regular-season matchup at United Park. Drogheda's home form shows a strong trend: they have scored exactly 1 goal in 12 of their last 21 meetings against Bohemians, a 57% hit rate. Over their last 10 games, Drogheda has hit exactly 1 goal in 6 contests (60%), and across all 21 games this season, the pattern persists at 57%. This consistency makes the Exactly 1 goal prop a data-backed angle for the matchup.

Quick Stats

• Drogheda Utd have exactly 1 goal in 12 of 21 all-time H2H games vs Bohemians (57%)
• In the last 10 games, Drogheda scored exactly 1 goal 6 times (60%)
• Over 21 games this season, Drogheda hit exactly 1 goal in 12 contests (57%)
• Bohemians enter on a 1-game winning streak with a 10-6-7 season record
• Drogheda sits at 5-9-7 this season with 0 consecutive wins

Head-to-Head Exactly 1 Goal Trend

Drogheda United's scoring pattern against Bohemians is remarkably consistent. Across 21 all-time meetings, Drogheda have scored exactly 1 goal in 12 games, yielding a 57% hit rate. This trend holds whether the fixture is at home or away, showing a structural tendency rather than a venue-dependent quirk.

• Drogheda exactly 1 goal: 12 of 21 H2H games (57%)
• Opponents faced include both home and away contests since 2021
• Hit rate stable across recent and historical matchups

Recent Form: Last 10 Games

In Drogheda's last 10 games across all opponents, the exactly 1 goal mark has cashed in 6 contests (60%). This slightly elevated rate compared to the H2H average suggests recent scoring discipline or defensive solidity, though sample size is smaller.

• Exactly 1 goal in 6 of last 10 games (60%)
• Streak includes matches vs Sheffield, Sligo Rovers, Linfield, Derby County, Waterford, and Dunfermline
• Rate exceeds the 21-game H2H average by 3 percentage points

Season-Long Perspective

Over Drogheda's full 21-game 2026 season, the exactly 1 goal prop has landed in 12 contests (57%), matching the H2H rate precisely. Drogheda's overall record stands at 5-9-7, and they carry 0 consecutive wins into this fixture. Bohemians, by contrast, are 10-6-7 with a 1-game winning streak, suggesting a form advantage going in.

• Drogheda season record: 5-9-7 (23.8% win rate)
• Bohemians season record: 10-6-7 (43.5% win rate)
• Exactly 1 goal: 12 of 21 season games (57%)
• Both teams enter with 6 days of rest

Last 5 Games: Recent Volatility

Drogheda's most recent stretch shows volatility. In their last 5 games, they scored exactly 1 goal in only 2 contests (40%), a dip from the longer-term 57% average. Opponents in this window included Waterford (away), Dunfermline, Waterford again, St. Patrick's Athletic (away), and Sheffield.

• Exactly 1 goal in 2 of last 5 games (40%)
• Wider goal-scoring variance: totals ranged 0, 3 goals
• Rate trails all longer-term samples by 17 percentage points

Top Team & Game Trends

The strongest team and game angles for this matchup:

• Bohemians Exactly 1 - Team Goals Scored (Exact) (55% in the last 20 games) at +160
• Over 2.5 - Total Goals Scored (90% in the last 10 games) at -125
• Drogheda Utd Yes - To Shut Out Opponent (30% in the last 20 home games) at +650
• Drogheda Utd Yes - To Shut Out Opponent at +650
• Drogheda Utd Yes - To Hold Opponent Scoreless at +400

Matchup Angles & Storylines

Situational storylines our data flags for this game:

• Bohemians get a softer spot against a sub.500 opponent.
• Drogheda United get a softer spot against a sub.500 opponent.

Best Game Picks

Our top data-backed game/team recommendations, with the numbers:

• Under 2.5 - 2nd Half Total Goals Scored (100% in the last 10 away games against DRO, -500)
• Over 2.5 - Total Goals Scored (90% in the last 10 games, -125)
• Drogheda Utd Over 0.5 - Team Goals Scored (86% in 21 games this season, -215)
• Over 3.5 - Total Goals Scored (80% in the last 5 away games, +190)

Things to Watch Out For

Risk flags before you bet this game:

• Drogheda Utd Yes - To Shut Out Opponent has hit just 30% recently, closer to a coin flip than an edge.
• Under 1 - 1st Half Total Goals Scored sits at 38% lately, too thin to back with confidence.
• Under 1.5 - Total Goals Scored has cashed only 45% of late, below the bar for a real edge.
• Under 0.5 - 2nd Half Total Goals Scored is barely a coin flip at 35%, so tread carefully.
• Over 1.5 - 1st Half Total Goals Scored has connected 50% recently, not enough cushion to trust it.

How to Bet This Market

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Drogheda's exactly 1 goal hit rate against Bohemians historically?

Drogheda have scored exactly 1 goal in 12 of their last 21 all-time head-to-head matches vs Bohemians, a 57% hit rate. This trend spans meetings from 2021 onwards and is consistent across home and away fixtures.

Does the exactly 1 goal trend hold in Drogheda's last 10 games overall?

Yes. In Drogheda's last 10 games against all opponents, they hit exactly 1 goal in 6 contests (60%), slightly above the 57% H2H average.

How does Drogheda's season record compare to Bohemians entering this match?

Drogheda are 5-9-7 (5 wins, 9 losses, 7 draws) with a 23.8% win rate and 0 consecutive wins. Bohemians are 10-6-7 (10 wins, 6 losses, 7 draws) with a 43.5% win rate and 1 consecutive win, indicating a form edge for the away side.

Has the exactly 1 goal trend weakened recently for Drogheda?

Yes. In Drogheda's last 5 games, exactly 1 goal occurred in only 2 contests (40%), dropping 17 percentage points below the season and H2H averages of 57%.

When is the Drogheda vs Bohemians match scheduled?

The match is on July 3, 2026, at 18:45 UTC at United Park in Drogheda, an Ireland Premier Division regular-season fixture.

How Team Goals Scored (Exact) Works

Pick the exact number of goals your chosen team will score during the entire match. The bet wins only if the team scores precisely the selected number of goals. Any other goal total results in a loss.

Reading the Odds

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Frequently Asked Questions

How does Team Goals Scored (Exact) pay out?

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