A Lyga Longshots & Value Today (July 22, 2026)

Small stakes, big upside. The longshots with real data behind the dream. Every A Lyga play below is ranked from 2 qualifying angles with the numbers that justify it.

Quick Stats

• 2 angles in play
• FC Hegelmann Draw - 1X2 (FT) (55% in the last 20 games, +240) - HEG @ SIA
• Šiauliai FA Draw - 1X2 (FT) (44% in the last 9 home games against HEG, +240) - SIA vs. HEG

Today's Longshots & Value

Small stakes, big upside. The longshots with real data behind the dream. Ranked by hit rate, each with the data behind it:

• FC Hegelmann Draw - 1X2 (FT) (55% in the last 20 games, +240) - HEG @ SIA
• Šiauliai FA Draw - 1X2 (FT) (44% in the last 9 home games against HEG, +240) - SIA vs. HEG

The Case

We pulled 2 qualifying A Lyga angles and kept the strongest, but confidence is not certainty, so we stake to the edge, not the excitement.

• FC Hegelmann Draw - 1X2 (FT) (55% in the last 20 games) at +240 - HEG @ SIA
• Šiauliai FA Draw - 1X2 (FT) (44% in the last 9 home games against HEG) at +240 - SIA vs. HEG

Things to Watch Out For

Before you bet:

• Šiauliai FA Draw - 1X2 (FT) (SIA vs. HEG) has hit just 44% recently, closer to a coin flip than an edge.

How to Play It

Tap any pick to load it, compare the price across books, and place it via the widget.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is today's top A Lyga longshots & value?

Our top play: FC Hegelmann Draw - 1X2 (FT) (55% in the last 20 games, +240) - HEG @ SIA.

How are these ranked?

By recent hit rate and implied probability, weighted for sample depth.

How many angles were considered?

2 qualifying A Lyga angles today.